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  7. The 2026 Global Peace Index: A more violent, less supported world

10 JUN 26

The 2026 Global Peace Index: A more violent, less supported world

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Aid Distribution At A Transit Camp For Sudanese Refugees In Chad Photo Credit Caritas Mongo Copy

Each year the Global Peace Index provides us with a snapshot of the state of our world. This year’s picture is a difficult one: more conflict, more instability, and more people living through violence than at any point in recent decades. 

For those of us working in humanitarian aid, this is a report we receive with heavy hearts. Not because it is unfamiliar, but because it reflects so clearly what we see through our work every day. That it is innocent people who bear the heaviest burden of conflict. 

When war becomes everyday life 

One of the most sobering findings in this year’s Index is that there are now more active conflicts than at any time since the end of the Second World War. 

But behind that statistic is a human reality. 

Conflicts today are rarely short-lived. They stretch over years, even generations. There are no clear frontlines. War is no longer something distant or contained, it becomes part of daily life. 

It is the elderly person unable to flee without assistance. 

The person living with illness, cut off from essential medicine. 

The mother trying to care for her children without secure access to food, water, or toilets. 

The young person attempting to learn, even as violence unfolds around them. 

We see this in Ukraine, where we recently reported on teenagers having sat exams after sheltering in underground metro stations overnight, a quiet act of courage that should never be required of them. 

This is the reality of war. These moments remind us that conflict is not abstract. It is deeply personal. It shapes lives in ways that cannot be easily undone. 

Caritas Ukraine staff hand out food parcels as part of the humaniatrian response photo credit Caritas Ukraine.jpg

Ukrainian teenagers sat a four-hour exam amid a massive attack. This is the reality of war.

A widening gap between need and support 

At the same time, the world is facing a troubling contradiction. 

As need grows, support is shrinking. 

Global aid is under increasing pressure, with significant declines forecast at a time when more communities than ever require assistance. For humanitarian organisations, this presents a profound challenge. 

Our purpose is to help build a world where aid is no longer needed, where communities are supported to flourish independently in line with their inherent dignity. 

Yet the direction we are heading tells a different story. 

Conflicts are increasing. Crises are lasting longer. And the resources available to respond are under strain. 

Our Board Director, Gerald Stack, explored this worrying trend recently, while making the case for overseas aid as a small part of national spending, but a major investment in global prosperity and stability. 

When that support diminishes, it is the most vulnerable who feel it first, and most deeply. 

A member of Caritas Youth carries a box of aid photo credit Caritas Lebanon.jpg

Overseas aid: a small line item with outsized returns 

The changing face of conflict 

This year’s report also points to a quieter, but profound, shift: the growing role of technology in warfare. 

Advances in artificial intelligence and automated systems are transforming how conflicts are fought. Decisions can be made more rapidly, at greater scale, and at greater distance. 

Alongside the physical toll of conflict, this raises deeper moral questions. 

When the pace of war accelerates, what happens to reflection, judgement, and restraint? 
When human lives risk being reduced to data points, how do we hold on to the inherent dignity of every person? 

These questions echo recent reflections by our Mission Facilitator Michael McGirr on Magnifica Humanitas, which calls us to centre our shared humanity in an increasingly technological world. 

It is a reminder that no system, no matter how advanced, can replace the moral responsibility we carry for one another. 

Pope Leo XIV (Centre) Credit Caritas Peru And Caritas LAC

Natural Humanity: reflections on Pope Leo’s Magnifica Humanitas

Holding on to hope 

Taken together, these trends point to a world that is becoming both more violent and less supported. 

And yet, even in this reality, there are signs of hope. 

We see it in the resilience of communities who continue to endure. 

We see it in local partners who remain alongside those most affected. 

We see it in the small, everyday acts of courage that persist even in the darkest circumstances. 

At Caritas Australia, we remain committed to walking with communities through these challenges, responding to immediate need, but also working towards a more just and peaceful future. 

Reports like the Global Peace Index remind us of the scale of the task ahead. 

But they also remind us why that work matters. Because behind every statistic is a person. And every person deserves to live in peace. 

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